Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview

From: Karen White <karenwhite7@charter.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 19:26:55 -0800

Previous Article (by Date): Re: [CANSLIM] Investors Business Daily "Tom Worley"
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Thank you tom for the weekly weeview... two of the things I look forward to 
are the weeview and Katherines hunting list - a big help.  Even if you 
werent in the business I would think giving all the info on your activities 
would be inappropriate because then you would be held to a standard that if 
you got busy and didnt tell someone your last move they would blame you... 
we need to be adult and just appreciate the wisdom and insight you folks 
help us with.  Thanks,,, Karen

At 08:14 PM 2/22/2003 -0500, you wrote:
>ECONOMICS
>New York's Fed gave the first warning of a gloomy economic week with the 
>report that manufacturing in February plunged from 20.7 to 1.1, lowest in 
>4 months. In retrospect, they also gave early warning of the jump in PPI 
>to be reported later in the week, noting prices paid index jumped to 19.2 
>from 7.3, highest since July '01. And prices received remained benign, 
>just as did the CPI, slipping to -14.4 from -15.6. New orders index 
>dropped from 18.7 to 12.3.
>
>PPI shocked the markets by rising 1.6% in January, even the core, after 
>stripping out energy and food, shot up 0.9%. Needless to say, both were 
>way over expectations of 0.5% and 0.1%. Meanwhile, the CPI reassured 
>investors with tame numbers, up 0.3%, still the highest in nine months 
>primarily because of rocketing energy prices (up another 4%). The core CPI 
>was up only 0.1%. Both were in line with expectations.
>
>Housing starts in January rose 0.2% to their highest in over 16 years. 
>Permits fell 5.6% due to a drop in multifamily housing, while permits for 
>single family housing rose 0.3% to set a new record high.
>
>Another discouraging sign was new jobless claims, rising 21,000 to 402K 
>and considerably worse than the 385K expected. The 4 week moving average 
>also rose 4,750 to 394,750. Given the snow conditions in the Northeast, 
>and the 4 day week, good chance these numbers are under reported. 
>Continuing claims also jumped another 150K as companies continue to lay 
>off workers rather than hiring new ones.
>
>US Trade Deficit hit a new record in December at $44.2 billion on the back 
>of a weak dollar. Want to bet that January breaks that record?
>
>Next week: on tap are both existing and new home sales, both expected to 
>decline slightly. Also, Durable goods orders, expected to rise 1.%, watch 
>out if the figure is measurably short. Consumer confidence is expected to 
>have continued its decline, and the preliminary GDP for Q4 is expected to 
>be raised from 0.7% to 1.3%, another one to watch out for if it fails to 
>measure up.
>
>----------
>"M"
>Uncertainty of war with Iraq (or when it will start, how long it will 
>take, how much damage in human and oil field terms) continue to hang over 
>the market. Economic concerns both globally and here in the US of A 
>continue to signal caution. Proposed tax cuts, with attendant record govt 
>deficits, worry global economic leaders. Meanwhile, most indexes closed 
>out a second week of gains, but after four declining weeks (most of far 
>greater proportions), look mighty anemic and more willing to seek new 
>lower levels than to bust thru overhead resistance. Both NASDAQ and NYSE 
>moved back into mild overbought territory, and at or above short term (20 
>dma) levels. Time will tell if they can sustain this, or take the next leg 
>down to test the October lows. The trend remains down, keep your powder 
>dry and preserve your capital.
>
>----------
>WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES
>This list is in no way intended to recommend any stocks to the group. It 
>is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health of CANSLIM's "M" 
>and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some stocks with 
>constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from 
>(and of course doing your own due diligence). I am employed in Operations 
>by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is strictly my 
>own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views or opinions 
>of my employer.
>
>I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS ranking of 80 or better, and 
>try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition / buyout 
>scenario. I look at all charts that meet this general RS/EPS criteria, 
>focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I consider all 
>industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my personal 
>investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings forecast for this 
>year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no due 
>diligence, that is your responsibility. I will note any CANSLIM patterns I 
>see, such as c&h, double (or triple) bottoms, or flat bases (shown as Bx 
>where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also note LLUR (Lower Left Upper 
>Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM pattern. Rarely are any of 
>these stocks of interest to me for my personal investing due size, price 
>or industry group. I will note any stocks in which I have a current 
>personal financial interest, whether real money or virtual reality (VR).
>
>The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend is barely enough to 
>cover the shallow end of the pool. The sharks, in the deeper water, are 
>hungry and aggressive with any willing to venture out further.
>
>ANSI - c&h, long handle
>APA - young LLUR??
>BWS - c&h, may be trying to break the pivot on volume
>ESI - decent c&h forming
>HLTH - high handle?, base forming?
>IDXC - c&h, in my VR Fund
>NSCN - LLUR, owned and in my VR Fund
>PCZ - LLUR
>PORT - LLUR
>PVR - c&h
>STHLY - high handle, low price
>VAR - high handle?
>YHOO (yeah, yahoo) - high handle
>
>Happy Hunting,
>
>Waving Flag15.gif
>Tom Worley
><mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net>stkguru@bellsouth.net
>AIM: TexWorley
>

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- --=====================_3382269==_.REL--


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