Re: [CANSLIM] M

From: Gene Ricci <genr@swbell.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] M
Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 16:15:30 -0600
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Tim, your article's charts look almost the same as those shown by =
Rittenhouse. Their seminar was on 2/27 and I'm curious to see if/how =
they will tie. They also talked about the economy pre-war as well.

Thanks for the link,
Gene
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Tim Katona=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Tuesday, March 11, 2003 3:58 PM
  Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] M


  Here is another analysis on the war factor. The chart "Annualized =
Market Performance Following Key Events" is interesting but I don't =
fully agree with the rest of their analysis (or sales pitch).

  =
http://www.russell.com/US/education_center/ARTicle_library/market_analysi=
s/warfactor.asp

  Tim K.
    -----Original Message-----
    From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Tom Worley
    Sent: Tuesday, March 11, 2003 1:48 PM
    To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
    Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] M


    I think a lot of people are going to be thinking this, and will be =
sorely (and financially disappointed). There will probably be some kind =
of a relief bounce once actual war starts. But even if it goes quickly, =
and with minimal loss of life and property damage (esp. to the oil =
fields), I do not expect the bounce to reverse the bear trend we are =
still in. Nor do I expect it to change the economics we continue to see.

    ----- Original Message -----=20
    From: Gene Ricci=20
    To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    Sent: Tuesday, March 11, 2003 4:33 PM
    Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] M


    Tom, thanks for your insight. I attended a small seminar by
    Rittenhouse and they showed how well the market did after
    wars. I plan to forward it as soon as I get it. Bottom line, their
    data showed that being in the market (post war) ... was good!

    Gene
      ----- Original Message -----=20
      From: Tom Worley=20
      To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      Sent: Tuesday, March 11, 2003 2:28 PM
      Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] M


      Ian,

      My impression of the past weeks is that buyers are disappearing. =
So I would
      read those up days as meaning sellers were not as motivated due =
external
      reasons (no bad economic reports, some lessening in the immediacy =
of war
      with Iraq, etc.). The down days therefore appear to me to be days =
when the
      sellers were more motivated to sell, and buyers were still absent.

      I do find it encouraging that so far the sellers, even with the =
absence of
      significant buying, have not done more damage to the indexes.

      Best parallel I can suggest would be to study the indexes during =
the months
      leading up to Desert Storm beginning (mid Jan 1991 when the air =
war phase
      was launched)

      ----- Original Message -----
      From: "Ian" <ianstm@shaw.ca>
      To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
      Sent: Tuesday, March 11, 2003 3:38 PM
      Subject: [CANSLIM] M


      Hi all:

      I was just looking at a chart of QQQ (NASDAQ-100) and noticed an =
odd
      pattern:

      Over the last 3 weeks (Since Feb 18 - 16 trading days) the QQQ's =
have had 6
      days of increasing, above-average volume. On each of these 6 days, =
the index
      went up. On nine of the ten days of declining, below-average =
volume, the
      index went down.

      Overall, the QQQ is down about 5% (from 25.25 to 24) over those 16 =
days.

      Does anyone recognize this pattern and know if there are =
historical
      precedents for the likely direction from here? Dp all these volume =
days with
      no 'breakout' forward progress indicate distribution?

      Thanks,

      Ian



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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Tim, your article's charts look almost =
the same=20
as those shown by Rittenhouse. Their&nbsp;seminar was on 2/27 and I'm =
curious to=20
see if/how they will tie. They also talked about the economy pre-war as=20
well.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS"></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Thanks for the link,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Gene</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dtkat17@earthlink.net =
href=3D"mailto:tkat17@earthlink.net">Tim=20
  Katona</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, March 11, 2003 =
3:58=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] M</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT color=3D#0000ff><FONT face=3DArial><FONT size=3D2><SPAN=20
  class=3D890215521-11032003><FONT color=3D#0000ff>Here is another =
analysis on the=20
  war factor. The </FONT><FONT color=3D#000000><FONT face=3D"Times New =
Roman"=20
  size=3D3>chart "</FONT><SPAN class=3DlevelSectionTitle><FONT=20
  face=3D"Times New Roman" size=3D3>Annualized Market Performance =
Following Key=20
  Events" is interesting but I don't fully agree with the rest of their =
analysis=20
  (or sales =
pitch).</FONT></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT color=3D#0000ff><FONT face=3DArial><FONT size=3D2><SPAN=20
  class=3D890215521-11032003><FONT face=3D"Times New Roman" =
color=3D#000000=20
  size=3D3><SPAN=20
  =
class=3DlevelSectionTitle></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT>&nbsp=
;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT color=3D#0000ff><FONT face=3DArial><FONT size=3D2><SPAN=20
  class=3D890215521-11032003></SPAN><A=20
  =
href=3D"http://www.russell.com/US/education_center/ARTicle_library/market=
_analysis/warfactor.asp">http://www.russell.com/US/education_center/ARTic=
le_library/market_analysis/warfactor.asp</A></FONT></FONT></FONT></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=3DArial color=3D#0000ff size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D890215521-11032003><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff size=3D2>Tim=20
  K.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT =
face=3DTahoma=20
    size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> <A=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com">owner-canslim@lists.xmis=
sion.com</A>=20
    [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<B>On Behalf Of </B>Tom=20
    Worley<BR><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, March 11, 2003 1:48 PM<BR><B>To:</B> =

    canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM]=20
    M<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=3DArial>I think a lot of people are going to be =
thinking this,=20
    and will be sorely (and financially disappointed). There will =
probably be=20
    some kind of a relief bounce once actual war starts. But even if it =
goes=20
    quickly, and with minimal loss of life and property damage (esp. to =
the oil=20
    fields), I do not expect the bounce to reverse the bear trend we are =
still=20
    in. Nor do I expect it to change the economics we continue to=20
    see.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----=20
    <DIV style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> =
<A=20
    title=3Dgenr@swbell.net href=3D"mailto:genr@swbell.net">Gene =
Ricci</A> </DIV>
    <DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
    =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
    </DIV>
    <DIV><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, March 11, 2003 4:33 PM</DIV>
    <DIV><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] M</DIV></DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Tom, thanks for your insight. I =
attended a=20
    small seminar by</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Rittenhouse and they showed how =
well the=20
    market did after</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">wars. I plan to forward it as soon =
as I get=20
    it. Bottom line, their</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">data showed that being in the =
market (post=20
    war) ... was good!</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS"></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Gene</FONT></DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE=20
    style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- =
</DIV>
      <DIV=20
      style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
      <A title=3Dstkguru@bellsouth.net =
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net">Tom=20
      Worley</A> </DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A=20
      title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
      =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
=20
      </DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, March 11, =
2003 2:28=20
      PM</DIV>
      <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] =
M</DIV>
      <DIV><BR></DIV>Ian,<BR><BR>My impression of the past weeks is that =
buyers=20
      are disappearing. So I would<BR>read those up days as meaning =
sellers were=20
      not as motivated due external<BR>reasons (no bad economic reports, =
some=20
      lessening in the immediacy of war<BR>with Iraq, etc.). The down =
days=20
      therefore appear to me to be days when the<BR>sellers were more =
motivated=20
      to sell, and buyers were still absent.<BR><BR>I do find it =
encouraging=20
      that so far the sellers, even with the absence of<BR>significant =
buying,=20
      have not done more damage to the indexes.<BR><BR>Best parallel I =
can=20
      suggest would be to study the indexes during the months<BR>leading =
up to=20
      Desert Storm beginning (mid Jan 1991 when the air war phase<BR>was =

      launched)<BR><BR>----- Original Message -----<BR>From: "Ian" =
&lt;<A=20
      href=3D"mailto:ianstm@shaw.ca">ianstm@shaw.ca</A>&gt;<BR>To: =
&lt;<A=20
      =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
&gt;<BR>Sent:=20
      Tuesday, March 11, 2003 3:38 PM<BR>Subject: [CANSLIM] =
M<BR><BR><BR>Hi=20
      all:<BR><BR>I was just looking at a chart of QQQ (NASDAQ-100) and =
noticed=20
      an odd<BR>pattern:<BR><BR>Over the last 3 weeks (Since Feb 18 - 16 =
trading=20
      days) the QQQ's have had 6<BR>days of increasing, above-average =
volume. On=20
      each of these 6 days, the index<BR>went up. On nine of the ten =
days of=20
      declining, below-average volume, the<BR>index went =
down.<BR><BR>Overall,=20
      the QQQ is down about 5% (from 25.25 to 24) over those 16=20
      days.<BR><BR>Does anyone recognize this pattern and know if there =
are=20
      historical<BR>precedents for the likely direction from here? Dp =
all these=20
      volume days with<BR>no 'breakout' forward progress indicate=20
      distribution?<BR><BR>Thanks,<BR><BR>Ian<BR><BR><BR><BR>-<BR>-To=20
      subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
      =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>-In=
=20
      the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>-"unsubscribe=20
      canslim".&nbsp; Do not use quotes in your =
email.<BR><BR><BR><BR>-<BR>-To=20
      subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
      =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>-In=
=20
      the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>-"unsubscribe=20
      canslim".&nbsp; Do not use quotes in your=20
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