Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Larry Worden" <lworden@attbi.com>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
Date: Mon, 5 May 2003 06:58:44 -0700
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I have been away. Is there going to be a Worley’s Weekend Weeview
in the future? Thanks Tom for the past ones. Hope to see some LLUR’s in the
future.
Larry
- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Tom Worley
Sent: Sunday, April 06, 2003 7:11 PM
To: CANSLIM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview
ECONOMICS
In a forewarning of what was to come later in the week, the Chicago NAPM
Index contracted sharply in March to 48.4 from 54.9. Expectations were for
a drop to 50.7. On the National level, ISM reports that manufacturing
activity fell to 46.2 from 50.5, first time back into contraction in five
months. Expected was 48.6.
Spending on new construction dropped 0.2% in February, but beat expectations
of a 0.7% drop. Residential construction climbed to a new record, however.
February's manufacturing orders fell 1.5%, expected was a 0.6% decline.
Durable orders were down 1.6%. Inventories are starting to inch up, up 0.4%
for the month.
ISM's March service index also declined to 47.9 from 53.9, lowest since the
9/11 attacks, and well under expectations of 52.3.
New jobless claims popped up to 445K last week, expected was only 410K. Last
time it was this high was mid April 2002. The economy may have recovered in
the past year, but if so it's doing it without creating jobs. The 4 week
average rose in tandem to 426,250 from 423,750, and continuing claims grew
another 110K to 3.61 million.
As if revising last month's shocking loss of 308K jobs even higher to 357K
wasn't bad enough, another 108K jobs were lost in March. Expected was only a
loss of 27K jobs, and without the huge upward revision for February. The
headline number of 5.8% unemployment remained unchanged, but that merely
reflects the mass exodus of people from the labor pool after exhausting
benefits, and giving up even trying to find a job. We now have the longest
stretch of negative reports on private payrolls (21 months) since the
1944-46 period (wow, that's even older than I am, and I am OLD!!). The
biggest loss of jobs came from the service sector, maybe because there are
so few manufacturing jobs left??
_____
WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES
This list is in no way intended to recommend any stocks to the group. It is
a part of my regular personal assessment of the health of CANSLIM's "M" and,
as the name implies, only intended to identify some stocks with constructive
chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from (and of course
doing your own due diligence). I am employed in Operations by a US Broker
Dealer, however everything presented by me is strictly my own ideas and in
no way should be taken to reflect the views or opinions of my employer.
I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS ranking of 80 or better, and
try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition / buyout scenario.
I look at all charts that meet this general RS/EPS criteria, focusing on
ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I consider all industry groups and
prices, even those I will not consider for my personal investing. I no
longer will actively consider earnings forecast for this year and next due
the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no due diligence, that is your
responsibility. I will note any CANSLIM patterns I see, such as c&h, double
(or triple) bottoms, or flat bases (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks,
IMO). I will also note LLUR (Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not
exactly a CANSLIM pattern. Rarely are any of these stocks of interest to me
for my personal investing due size, price or industry group. I will note any
stocks in which I have a current personal financial interest, whether real
money or virtual reality (VR).
The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend continued to grow,
although not as much as I was expecting.
ACL - handle forming
AET - handle forming on a 9 month cup
AMGN - LLUR
DF - LLUR
DNEX - B7
ERES - LLUR
STN - secondary base?
Happy hunting, God Bless America
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net <mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net>
AIM: TexWorley
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<div class=3DSection1>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><s=
pan
style=3D"mso-spacerun: =
yes">
</span>I have been away. Is there going to be a Worley’s Weekend =
Weeview in the
future? Thanks Tom for the past ones. Hope to see some LLUR’s in =
the future.<o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><s=
pan
style=3D"mso-spacerun:
yes"> &n=
bsp; &nb=
sp; &nbs=
p;
</span>Larry<o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><!=
[if =
!supportEmptyParas]> <![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><!=
[if =
!supportEmptyParas]> <![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal><span class=3DEmailStyle19><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dnavy face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'><!=
[if =
!supportEmptyParas]> <![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></span></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D2 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DTahoma><span =
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma;color:black'>-----Original
Message-----<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>From:</span></b>
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<b><span
style=3D'font-weight:bold'>On Behalf Of </span></b>Tom Worley<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>Sent:</span></b> Sunday, April 06, =
2003 7:11
PM<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>To:</span></b> CANSLIM<br>
<b><span style=3D'font-weight:bold'>Subject:</span></b> [CANSLIM] =
Worley's
Weekend Weeview</span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt'><![if =
!supportEmptyParas]> <![endif]><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><strong><b><font =
size=3D3
color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;
color:black'>ECONOMICS</span></font></b></strong><font =
color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>In a
forewarning of what was to come later in the week, the Chicago NAPM
Index contracted sharply in March to 48.4 from 54.9.
Expectations were for a drop to 50.7. On the National level, ISM reports =
that
manufacturing activity fell to 46.2 from 50.5, first time back into =
contraction
in five months. Expected was 48.6. </span></font><font =
color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>Spending
on new construction dropped 0.2% in February, but beat expectations of a =
0.7%
drop. Residential construction climbed to a new record, =
however.</span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>February's
manufacturing orders fell 1.5%, expected was a 0.6% decline. Durable =
orders
were down 1.6%. Inventories are starting to inch up, up 0.4% for the =
month.</span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>ISM's
March service index also declined to 47.9 from 53.9, lowest since the =
9/11
attacks, and well under expectations of 52.3.</span></font><font =
color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>New
jobless claims popped up to 445K last week, expected was only 410K. Last =
time
it was this high was mid April 2002. The economy may have recovered in =
the past
year, but if so it's doing it without creating jobs. The 4 week average =
rose in
tandem to 426,250 from 423,750, and continuing claims grew another 110K =
to 3.61
million.</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>As if
revising last month's shocking loss of 308K jobs even higher to 357K =
wasn't bad
enough, another 108K jobs were lost in March. Expected was only a loss =
of 27K
jobs, and without the huge upward revision for February. The headline =
number of
5.8% unemployment remained unchanged, but that merely reflects the mass =
exodus
of people from the labor pool after exhausting benefits, and giving up =
even
trying to find a job. We now have the longest stretch of negative =
reports on
private payrolls (21 months) since the 1944-46 period (wow, that's even =
older
than I am, and I am OLD!!). The biggest loss of jobs came from the =
service
sector, maybe because there are so few manufacturing jobs left?? =
</span></font><font
color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<div class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dcenter =
style=3D'margin-left:.5in;text-align:center'><font
size=3D3 color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;
color:black'>
<hr size=3D2 width=3D"100%" align=3Dcenter>
</span></font></div>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><strong><b><font =
size=3D3
color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;
color:black'>WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES</span></font></b></strong><font
color=3Dblack><span style=3D'color:black'> </span></font><font =
color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>This
list is in no way intended to recommend any stocks to the group. It is a =
part
of my regular personal assessment of the health of CANSLIM's =
"M" and,
as the name implies, only intended to identify some stocks with =
constructive
chart patterns that may be worth </span></font><strong><b><font =
color=3Dred
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-family:Arial;color:red'>WATCHING</span></font></b></strong>=
<strong><b><font
color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-family:Arial;color:black'> and
learning from</span></font></b></strong><font color=3Dblack =
face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-family:Arial;color:black'> (and of course doing your own =
due
diligence). </span></font><em><b><i><font color=3Dblue =
face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-family:Arial;color:blue;font-weight:bold'>I am employed in
Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is
strictly my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views =
or
opinions of my employer.</span></font></i></b></em><font =
color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>I
typically list stocks with both RS and EPS ranking of 80 or better, and =
try to
exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition / buyout scenario. I =
look at
all charts that meet this general RS/EPS criteria, focusing on =
ones
at or close to a new 12 month high. I consider all industry groups and =
prices,
even those I will not consider for my personal investing. I no =
longer will actively
consider earnings forecast for this year and next due the confusing =
data
presented by DGO. </span></font><font color=3Dred face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-family:Arial;color:red'>I do no due diligence, that is =
your
responsibility</span></font><font color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span
style=3D'font-family:Arial;color:black'>. I will note any CANSLIM =
patterns I see,
such as c&h, double (or triple) bottoms, or flat bases (shown as Bx =
where
"x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also note LLUR (Lower Left =
Upper
Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM pattern. Rarely are any =
of these
stocks of interest to me for my personal investing due size, price or =
industry
group. I will note any stocks in which I have a current personal =
financial
interest, whether real money or virtual reality (VR).</span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>The
population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend continued to grow, =
although
not as much as I was expecting.</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>ACL -
handle forming</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>AET -
handle forming on a 9 month cup</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>AMGN -
LLUR</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>DF -
LLUR</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>DNEX -
B7</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>ERES -
LLUR</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>STN -
secondary base?</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>Happy
hunting, God Bless America</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'> </span></font><font
color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3D"Times New Roman"><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;color:black'><img
width=3D100 height=3D55 id=3D"_x0000_i1026" =
src=3D"cid:image001.gif@01C312D3.BBD5B450"
align=3Dbaseline border=3D0></span></font><font color=3Dblack><span =
style=3D'color:
black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-left:.5in'><font size=3D3 =
color=3Dblack
face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'>Tom
Worley<br>
</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span style=3D'color:black'><a
href=3D"mailto:stkguru@bellsouth.net"><font face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-family:
Arial'>stkguru@bellsouth.net</span></font></a><br>
</span></font><font color=3Dblack face=3DArial><span =
style=3D'font-family:Arial;
color:black'>AIM: TexWorley</span></font><font color=3Dblack><span
style=3D'color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></font><=
/p>
</div>
</body>
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