RE: [CANSLIM] Any reason why I should not buy APPX?

From: "Jeff Bogatay" <jeff@bogatay.com>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Any reason why I should not buy APPX?
Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 17:42:18 -0400

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While I'm still in "learning mode" and not playing with real money yet,
I think I can answer these...

(I haven't looked at the chart yet)

Closing basis is simply the closing price.  I think he means the price
hasn't fully broken out yet.  It's half-in, half-out.

The second point is a scenario typically described in TA terms as
divergance.

When a price makes a new relative high, but the indicator does not --
that's divergance.
When a price makes a new relative low, but the indicator does not --
that's also divergance.

It's generally perceived as weakness against the current direction.

I tried to find a website to better illustrate this, but all I could
find was a definition:

Divergance:

Occurs when the trend of a security's price doesn't correspond with the
trend of an indicator.




- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Mark Kerson
Sent: Thursday, May 15, 2003 2:49 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Any reason why I should not buy APPX?


Hello Jans, 

What do you mean by "...not broken out yet on a closing basis."?  

What is a "closing basis"? 

Also, when you say "(it hasn't gone to a new high compared with the
stock's RSL when APPX formed its left lip)" are you referring to the RSL
high point just under the $27.75 price point? And if so why is this
important? I have not read (or at least I don't remember reading)
anything in IBD that requires this. 

Just wondering. 

Thanks, Mark



- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Spencer48@aol.com
Sent: Thursday, May 15, 2003 12:20 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Any reason why I should not buy APPX?

Tomas:

     I've been following this stock also.  Not only are the fundies 
excellent, but the chart formation is nice also.  Moreover, there is a
high 
short interest; high ADV; and low float (relative to these two).  

     The last point says to me  that once the stock takes off, the
shorts 
will be covering, and because of the low float and high ADV, there will
be a 
short squeeze, ie. the shorts will be competing among themselves to
buy-and 
there is only so much stock available.  This will lead to the stock
gapping 
up, most probably.

     But I am not buying now.  And this is why:  As I see it on the
weekly, 
and even the daily, the stock has not BO yet on a closing basis.  The
RSL 
(relative strength line) shows that weakness is to continue (it hasn't
gone 
to a new high compared with the stock's RSL (relative strength line)
when 
APPX formed its left lip).

     Coupled this with the fact that the market seems like it is very OB

right now (however, I must admit, if APPX had BO on a closing basis with
anew 
high in the RSL-I'd buy it).  This says to me that APPX will form a
handle as 
the market corrects (probably to its uptrending 50).  

     (If I were a conspiracy theorist, I'd say that management is trying
to 
manipulate the stock, or perhaps the funds know something (For example,
that 
APPX's product (s) are for some reason  going to lead to an earnings
bust))

jans

In a message dated 5/15/2003 12:10:45 AM Eastern Daylight Time, 
tomas986@yahoo.com writes:

<< APPX has very good fundies.  It has 15.13/18 from  Katherine's CE
(8.80/11 CEF and 6.33/7 CET), not too  shabby..... Any reason why I
should not buy it tomorrow?>>

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