Re: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules


From: "Chuck Dreier" <chucknsc@mindspring.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules
Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 16:44:44 -0400

Next Article (by Subject): Re: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules "David Bojanowski"
Previous Article (by Subject): RE: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules michael_niemotka@baxter.com
Top of Thread: RE: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules "Edward W. Gjertsen II"
Next in Thread: Re: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules "David Bojanowski"
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I was in Garmin at approx $25 and watched it rise to $48 (a nearly 100% =
gain!!).  Then as it began to fall, I put a $44 stop on it - 8%.  Well, =
I stopped out the other day and watched it continue to decline thinking =
I'd done the right thing.  I was awaiting the 50 day line at about $39 =
to see how to proceed, and then low and behold - it bounces back this =
afternoon on major volume.  It's up to about $44.90 in after hours =
trading. =20

Boy, I'm at a loss about what to do now.  I honestly believe GRMN is a =
great company.  I jumped off the train, and want back on.  But... boy I =
don't want to get whipsawed.  The chart isn't helping me make a =
decision.  Anyone else been through something like this before?

Thanks...
Chuck=20
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: michael_niemotka@baxter.com=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Wednesday, May 21, 2003 3:42 PM
  Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules



  While we are still on the subject of trailing stops, it can sometimes
  backfire.

  At one point, I was up over 20% in GRMN, after only a three week time =
from
  purchase.
   I chose to put in a 15% trailing stop, ie at worst case I would make =
a 5%
  profit if the stop started to fall.  I know some would sell at least a
  portion of the position at a 20% gain, but because it came so quickly, =
I
  remembered one of WON's rules that said that you should hold a stock =
like
  that for at  least 8 weeks.  He also said that you should NEVER let a =
stock
  that is up 15-20% turn into a loss, so that is why I used a 15% =
trailer.

  And then today, I get the e-mail notice that my stop loss has been
  activated, and then I watch GRMN go on to have a 10% swing during the =
day,
  which would leave me at about a 15% gain again.

  Overall, I still think GRMN is a great company , and am mad that I got
  booted out with the stop loss, but I think this is something that =
everyone
  has to deal with if you plan on being un-emotional, and using rules.

  So what would everyone else have done?  Should I have had a break even =
stop
  loss instead, since I was only up 20% but it happened within the first =
3
  weeks?

  Also, what is everyone's interpretation of WON's hold for 8 weeks rule =
when
  you get a high flyer?  Do you limit the loss to break even instead, to =
give
  it more leeway for a pullback?

  Thanks

  Mike

  Mike Niemotka , PE
  Sr. Principal Engineer
  Baxter Healthcare Corporation
  Route 120 & Wilson Road
  Round Lake, IL 60073
  Tel (847) 270-4075
  Fax (847) 270-4525
  michael_niemotka@baxter.com


                                                                         =
                                                    =20
                      "Martin Guldenburg"                                =
                                                    =20
                      <martinguldenburg@hotm       To:     =
canslim@lists.xmission.com                                        =20
                      ail.com>                     cc:                   =
                                                    =20
                      Sent by:                     Subject:     RE: =
[CANSLIM] STOPs                                          =20
                      owner-canslim@lists.xm                             =
                                                    =20
                      ission.com                                         =
                                                    =20
                                                                         =
                                                    =20
                                                                         =
                                                    =20
                      05/21/2003 02:27 PM                                =
                                                    =20
                      Please respond to                                  =
                                                    =20
                      canslim                                            =
                                                    =20
                                                                         =
                                                    =20
                                                                         =
                                                    =20




  Ameritrade offers Trailing Stops
  -Martin

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<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>I was in Garmin at approx $25 and =
watched it rise=20
to $48 (a nearly 100% gain!!).&nbsp; Then as it began to fall, I put a =
$44 stop=20
on it - 8%.&nbsp; Well, I stopped out the other day and watched it =
continue to=20
decline thinking I'd done the right thing.&nbsp; I was awaiting the 50 =
day line=20
at about $39 to see how to proceed, and then low and behold - it bounces =
back=20
this afternoon on major volume.&nbsp; It's up to about $44.90 in after =
hours=20
trading.&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Boy, I'm at a loss about what to do =
now.&nbsp; I=20
honestly believe GRMN is a great company.&nbsp; I jumped off the train, =
and want=20
back on.&nbsp; But... boy I don't want to get whipsawed.&nbsp; The chart =
isn't=20
helping me make a decision.&nbsp; Anyone else been through something =
like this=20
before?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Thanks...</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Chuck</FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dmichael_niemotka@baxter.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:michael_niemotka@baxter.com">michael_niemotka@baxter.com</=
A>=20
  </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, May 21, 2003 =
3:42=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: [CANSLIM] STOPs =
and GRMN and=20
  selling rules</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV><BR>While we are still on the subject of trailing =
stops, it can=20
  sometimes<BR>backfire.<BR><BR>At one point, I was up over 20% in GRMN, =
after=20
  only a three week time from<BR>purchase.<BR>&nbsp;I chose to put in a =
15%=20
  trailing stop, ie at worst case I would make a 5%<BR>profit if the =
stop=20
  started to fall.&nbsp; I know some would sell at least a<BR>portion of =
the=20
  position at a 20% gain, but because it came so quickly, =
I<BR>remembered one of=20
  WON's rules that said that you should hold a stock like<BR>that for =
at&nbsp;=20
  least 8 weeks.&nbsp; He also said that you should NEVER let a =
stock<BR>that is=20
  up 15-20% turn into a loss, so that is why I used a 15% =
trailer.<BR><BR>And=20
  then today, I get the e-mail notice that my stop loss has =
been<BR>activated,=20
  and then I watch GRMN go on to have a 10% swing during the =
day,<BR>which would=20
  leave me at about a 15% gain again.<BR><BR>Overall, I still think GRMN =
is a=20
  great company , and am mad that I got<BR>booted out with the stop =
loss, but I=20
  think this is something that everyone<BR>has to deal with if you plan =
on being=20
  un-emotional, and using rules.<BR><BR>So what would everyone else have =

  done?&nbsp; Should I have had a break even stop<BR>loss instead, since =
I was=20
  only up 20% but it happened within the first 3<BR>weeks?<BR><BR>Also, =
what is=20
  everyone's interpretation of WON's hold for 8 weeks rule when<BR>you =
get a=20
  high flyer?&nbsp; Do you limit the loss to break even instead, to =
give<BR>it=20
  more leeway for a pullback?<BR><BR>Thanks<BR><BR>Mike<BR><BR>Mike =
Niemotka ,=20
  PE<BR>Sr. Principal Engineer<BR>Baxter Healthcare Corporation<BR>Route =
120=20
  &amp; Wilson Road<BR>Round Lake, IL 60073<BR>Tel (847) 270-4075<BR>Fax =
(847)=20
  270-4525<BR><A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:michael_niemotka@baxter.com">michael_niemotka@baxter.com</=
A><BR><BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp=
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  To:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <A=20
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  Subject:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; RE: [CANSLIM]=20
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  <BR><BR><BR><BR><BR>Ameritrade offers Trailing=20
  =
Stops<BR>-Martin<BR><BR>_________________________________________________=
________________<BR>The=20
  new MSN 8: advanced junk mail protection and 2 months FREE*<BR><A=20
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Next Article (by Subject): Re: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules "David Bojanowski"
Previous Article (by Subject): RE: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules michael_niemotka@baxter.com
Top of Thread: RE: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules "Edward W. Gjertsen II"
Next in Thread: Re: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules "David Bojanowski"
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