Re: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules


From: "Chuck Dreier" <chucknsc@mindspring.com>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules
Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 08:50:21 -0400

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Mike,
The stop was at 8% below the top, rounding off to the nearest dollar.  I =
figure a drop of 8% from the high (actually it was a little more than =
that) follows the WON rule.
Chuck
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: michael_niemotka@baxter.com=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Wednesday, May 21, 2003 5:09 PM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules



  Chuck,

  What made you put a stop at $44?



  Mike Niemotka , PE
  Sr. Principal Engineer
  Baxter Healthcare Corporation
  Route 120 & Wilson Road
  Round Lake, IL 60073
  Tel (847) 270-4075
  Fax (847) 270-4525
  michael_niemotka@baxter.com


                                                                         =
                                                    =20
                      "Chuck Dreier"                                     =
                                                    =20
                      <chucknsc@mindspring.c       To:     =
canslim@lists.xmission.com                                        =20
                      om>                          cc:                   =
                                                    =20
                      Sent by:                     Subject:     Re: =
[CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules               =20
                      owner-canslim@lists.xm                             =
                                                    =20
                      ission.com                                         =
                                                    =20
                                                                         =
                                                    =20
                                                                         =
                                                    =20
                      05/21/2003 03:44 PM                                =
                                                    =20
                      Please respond to                                  =
                                                    =20
                      canslim                                            =
                                                    =20
                                                                         =
                                                    =20
                                                                         =
                                                    =20




  I was in Garmin at approx $25 and watched it rise to $48 (a nearly =
100%
  gain!!).  Then as it began to fall, I put a $44 stop on it - 8%.  =
Well, I
  stopped out the other day and watched it continue to decline thinking =
I'd
  done the right thing.  I was awaiting the 50 day line at about $39 to =
see
  how to proceed, and then low and behold - it bounces back this =
afternoon on
  major volume.  It's up to about $44.90 in after hours trading.

  Boy, I'm at a loss about what to do now.  I honestly believe GRMN is a
  great company.  I jumped off the train, and want back on.  But... boy =
I
  don't want to get whipsawed.  The chart isn't helping me make a =
decision.
  Anyone else been through something like this before?

  Thanks...
  Chuck
   ----- Original Message -----
   From: michael_niemotka@baxter.com
   To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
   Sent: Wednesday, May 21, 2003 3:42 PM
   Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and selling rules


   While we are still on the subject of trailing stops, it can sometimes
   backfire.

   At one point, I was up over 20% in GRMN, after only a three week time =
from
   purchase.
    I chose to put in a 15% trailing stop, ie at worst case I would make =
a 5%
   profit if the stop started to fall.  I know some would sell at least =
a
   portion of the position at a 20% gain, but because it came so =
quickly, I
   remembered one of WON's rules that said that you should hold a stock =
like
   that for at  least 8 weeks.  He also said that you should NEVER let a
   stock
   that is up 15-20% turn into a loss, so that is why I used a 15% =
trailer.

   And then today, I get the e-mail notice that my stop loss has been
   activated, and then I watch GRMN go on to have a 10% swing during the =
day,
   which would leave me at about a 15% gain again.

   Overall, I still think GRMN is a great company , and am mad that I =
got
   booted out with the stop loss, but I think this is something that =
everyone
   has to deal with if you plan on being un-emotional, and using rules.

   So what would everyone else have done?  Should I have had a break =
even
   stop
   loss instead, since I was only up 20% but it happened within the =
first 3
   weeks?

   Also, what is everyone's interpretation of WON's hold for 8 weeks =
rule
   when
   you get a high flyer?  Do you limit the loss to break even instead, =
to
   give
   it more leeway for a pullback?

   Thanks

   Mike

   Mike Niemotka , PE
   Sr. Principal Engineer
   Baxter Healthcare Corporation
   Route 120 & Wilson Road
   Round Lake, IL 60073
   Tel (847) 270-4075
   Fax (847) 270-4525
   michael_niemotka@baxter.com



                       "Martin Guldenburg"

                       <martinguldenburg@hotm       To:
   canslim@lists.xmission.com
                       ail.com>                     cc:

                       Sent by:                     Subject:     RE:
   [CANSLIM] STOPs
                       owner-canslim@lists.xm

                       ission.com



                       05/21/2003 02:27 PM

                       Please respond to
                       canslim







   Ameritrade offers Trailing Stops
   -Martin

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<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Mike,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>The stop was at 8% below the top, =
rounding off to=20
the nearest dollar.&nbsp; I figure a drop of 8% from the high (actually =
it was a=20
little more than that) follows the WON rule.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Chuck</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dmichael_niemotka@baxter.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:michael_niemotka@baxter.com">michael_niemotka@baxter.com</=
A>=20
  </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, May 21, 2003 =
5:09=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] STOPs =
and GRMN and=20
  selling rules</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV><BR>Chuck,<BR><BR>What made you put a stop at=20
  $44?<BR><BR><BR><BR>Mike Niemotka , PE<BR>Sr. Principal =
Engineer<BR>Baxter=20
  Healthcare Corporation<BR>Route 120 &amp; Wilson Road<BR>Round Lake, =
IL=20
  60073<BR>Tel (847) 270-4075<BR>Fax (847) 270-4525<BR><A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:michael_niemotka@baxter.com">michael_niemotka@baxter.com</=
A><BR><BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp=
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  Subject:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Re: [CANSLIM] STOPs and GRMN and =
selling=20
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rules&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&n=
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&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  <BR><BR><BR><BR><BR>I was in Garmin at approx $25 and watched it rise =
to $48=20
  (a nearly 100%<BR>gain!!).&nbsp; Then as it began to fall, I put a $44 =
stop on=20
  it - 8%.&nbsp; Well, I<BR>stopped out the other day and watched it =
continue to=20
  decline thinking I'd<BR>done the right thing.&nbsp; I was awaiting the =
50 day=20
  line at about $39 to see<BR>how to proceed, and then low and behold - =
it=20
  bounces back this afternoon on<BR>major volume.&nbsp; It's up to about =
$44.90=20
  in after hours trading.<BR><BR>Boy, I'm at a loss about what to do =
now.&nbsp;=20
  I honestly believe GRMN is a<BR>great company.&nbsp; I jumped off the =
train,=20
  and want back on.&nbsp; But... boy I<BR>don't want to get =
whipsawed.&nbsp; The=20
  chart isn't helping me make a decision.<BR>Anyone else been through =
something=20
  like this before?<BR><BR>Thanks...<BR>Chuck<BR>&nbsp;----- Original =
Message=20
  -----<BR>&nbsp;From: <A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:michael_niemotka@baxter.com">michael_niemotka@baxter.com</=
A><BR>&nbsp;To:=20
  <A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR>&nbsp;Sent:=20
  Wednesday, May 21, 2003 3:42 PM<BR>&nbsp;Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] STOPs =
and GRMN=20
  and selling rules<BR><BR><BR>&nbsp;While we are still on the subject =
of=20
  trailing stops, it can sometimes<BR>&nbsp;backfire.<BR><BR>&nbsp;At =
one point,=20
  I was up over 20% in GRMN, after only a three week time=20
  from<BR>&nbsp;purchase.<BR>&nbsp; I chose to put in a 15% trailing =
stop, ie at=20
  worst case I would make a 5%<BR>&nbsp;profit if the stop started to=20
  fall.&nbsp; I know some would sell at least a<BR>&nbsp;portion of the =
position=20
  at a 20% gain, but because it came so quickly, I<BR>&nbsp;remembered =
one of=20
  WON's rules that said that you should hold a stock like<BR>&nbsp;that =
for=20
  at&nbsp; least 8 weeks.&nbsp; He also said that you should NEVER let=20
  a<BR>&nbsp;stock<BR>&nbsp;that is up 15-20% turn into a loss, so that =
is why I=20
  used a 15% trailer.<BR><BR>&nbsp;And then today, I get the e-mail =
notice that=20
  my stop loss has been<BR>&nbsp;activated, and then I watch GRMN go on =
to have=20
  a 10% swing during the day,<BR>&nbsp;which would leave me at about a =
15% gain=20
  again.<BR><BR>&nbsp;Overall, I still think GRMN is a great company , =
and am=20
  mad that I got<BR>&nbsp;booted out with the stop loss, but I think =
this is=20
  something that everyone<BR>&nbsp;has to deal with if you plan on being =

  un-emotional, and using rules.<BR><BR>&nbsp;So what would everyone =
else have=20
  done?&nbsp; Should I have had a break even<BR>&nbsp;stop<BR>&nbsp;loss =

  instead, since I was only up 20% but it happened within the first=20
  3<BR>&nbsp;weeks?<BR><BR>&nbsp;Also, what is everyone's interpretation =
of=20
  WON's hold for 8 weeks rule<BR>&nbsp;when<BR>&nbsp;you get a high =
flyer?&nbsp;=20
  Do you limit the loss to break even instead, =
to<BR>&nbsp;give<BR>&nbsp;it more=20
  leeway for a =
pullback?<BR><BR>&nbsp;Thanks<BR><BR>&nbsp;Mike<BR><BR>&nbsp;Mike=20
  Niemotka , PE<BR>&nbsp;Sr. Principal Engineer<BR>&nbsp;Baxter =
Healthcare=20
  Corporation<BR>&nbsp;Route 120 &amp; Wilson Road<BR>&nbsp;Round Lake, =
IL=20
  60073<BR>&nbsp;Tel (847) 270-4075<BR>&nbsp;Fax (847) =
270-4525<BR>&nbsp;<A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:michael_niemotka@baxter.com">michael_niemotka@baxter.com</=
A><BR><BR><BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&=
nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  "Martin=20
  =
Guldenburg"<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  &lt;<A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:martinguldenburg@hotm">martinguldenburg@hotm</A>&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  To:<BR>&nbsp;<A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nb=
sp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  =
ail.com&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&n=
bsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  =
cc:<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&n=
bsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  Sent=20
  =
by:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  Subject:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; RE:<BR>&nbsp;[CANSLIM]=20
  =
STOPs<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  <A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xm">owner-canslim@lists.xm</A><BR><BR>=
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&=
nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  =
ission.com<BR><BR><BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp=
;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=
=20
  05/21/2003 02:27=20
  =
PM<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nb=
sp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  Please respond=20
  =
to<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&=
nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  canslim<BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR>&nbsp;Ameritrade offers =
Trailing=20
  =
Stops<BR>&nbsp;-Martin<BR><BR>&nbsp;_____________________________________=
____________________________<BR>&nbsp;The=20
  new MSN 8: advanced junk mail protection and 2 months =
FREE*<BR>&nbsp;<A=20
  =
href=3D"http://join.msn.com/?page=3Dfeatures/junkmail">http://join.msn.co=
m/?page=3Dfeatures/junkmail</A><BR><BR><BR>&nbsp;-<BR>&nbsp;-To=20
  subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>&nb=
sp;-In=20
  the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>&nbsp;-"unsubscribe=20
  canslim".&nbsp; Do not use quotes in your=20
  email.<BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR>&nbsp;-<BR>&nbsp;-To=20
  subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>&nb=
sp;-In=20
  the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>&nbsp;-"unsubscribe=20
  canslim".&nbsp; Do not use quotes in your=20
  email.<BR><BR><BR><BR><BR><BR>-<BR>-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email =
"<A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>-In=
 the=20
  email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>-"unsubscribe =
canslim".&nbsp; Do=20
  not use quotes in your email.</BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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