RE: [CANSLIM] ADVP

From: Roger Tawa <roger@tawacentral.net>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] ADVP
Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 12:57:57 -0400

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Thanks again Katherine.

In the case of APPX, I stock which I purchased at 26.99$ as it broke out on
05-14, and which I still hold, I have been looking for any signs of whether
I should get out.  although the rsrank is great and the rsline is making new
all-time highs, it has definitely been wedging since the breakout.  Do you
consider the rsline action outweighs the wedge or not?  Please feel free not
to answer this question given my vested interest in APPX.

Note that, given I am very new at this, I will, much more than likely,
invoke the take-your-20%-profit-and-run rule with this one.

=================================================
Roger Tawa
http://tawacentral.net/
[One thing about paradigms: shift happens.]
[When you stop, you're done.]

		 -----Original Message-----
		From: 	owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] 
		Sent:	Saturday, May 24, 2003 12:36 PM
		To:	canslim@lists.xmission.com
		Subject:	RE: [CANSLIM] ADVP

		Hi Roger,

		Contrary to what might seem to be the case, a strong stock
will most often see the RSLine stay flat or (preferrably) rise even as price
is falling. That occurs because, despite the pullback, the price action
*relative to the market as a whole* is still showing superiority. For
example, if the price of stock A is falling at a *slower rate* than the
market is falling, the RSLine will rise. That's why you can have a stock's
RSLine rise even as the price is falling on the left side of the cup and why
it's possible for the RSLine to make new highs, even as the stock's price is
drifting down within the handle (which is ideally what you would like to
see). However, I wouldn't get overly concerned about a minor pullback in the
RSLine during the handle as long as the overall upward trend of the RSLine
remains intact. That can happen when the market as a whole is very strong.

		What you really want to keep your eye on is a very marked
negative divergence in the direction of the RSLine relative to the price
action in the stock. This will happen in ill formed bases and in stocks that
are currently rising after a previous breakout. If the price continues to
rise while the RSLine heads markedly South, that's a warning sign the move
is running out of gas. This is the same reasoning you would use when looking
for the "wedging" action discussed here on the list previously. That is, if
price is rising on ever decreasing volume, that divergence shows a lack of
conviction in the move and raises the likelihood that the stock will
correct. That's why you ideally want to see volume *rise* on the right side
of the cup.

		Katherine

			 -----Original Message-----
			From: 	owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] 
			Sent:	Saturday, May 24, 2003 10:13 AM
			To:	canslim@lists.xmission.com
			Subject:	RE: [CANSLIM] ADVP

			Thanks Katherine.

			As for the down-sloping ud volume in the handle, I
guess that's to be expected in a proper handle given that the price should
be falling.  would the same be true for the rsline and rsrank?  Assuming the
handle is forming due to a general market downturn, you might expect the
rsline and rank to (at least) be flat for a true leader.  Does that make
sense?

			=================================================
			Roger Tawa
			http://tawacentral.net/
			[One thing about paradigms: shift happens.]
			[When you stop, you're done.]

				 -----Original Message-----
				From: 	owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] 
				Sent:	Friday, May 23, 2003 1:56 PM
				To:	canslim@lists.xmission.com
				Subject:	RE: [CANSLIM] ADVP

				Hi Roger,

				I think with a stock like ADVP, particularly
where the base is lengthy, it's easiest to put the volume action in
perspective when looking at the weekly chart. I don't think there's anything
worrisome about an decreasing ADV line as it's simply summarizing action
over the last 50 days and so will vary a bit, particularly if there were
some very high volume days early in the 50 day period that then drop off the
calculation as time marches on. That would be particularly true when much of
the base falls outside that 50 day period. In this case, ADVP's base is more
than a year. If there were high volume on the left side or near the bottom
of the base as the stock pushed down and then made a high volume reversal at
the bottom, then eventually, those volume bars fall outside the 50 days and
action on the right side of the base takes over in the ADV calculation.

				So, all in all, I'd put ADVP's base into
perspective by looking at the weekly action:
	
http://www.cwhcharts.com/katherine/ADVPWkly052303.JPG

				and a close up of the action on the right
side of the base and handle:
	
http://www.cwhcharts.com/katherine/ADVP052303.JPG

				Katherine

				 -----Original Message-----
				From: 	owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] 
				Sent:	Thursday, May 22, 2003 8:42 PM
				To:	CANSLIM
				Subject:	[CANSLIM] ADVP

				Hi all,

				I am looking at ADVP.  I do not own it at
this time.  It seems to have pretty good fundies.  As for the chart, the
handle looks good, going down along the lows and volume drying up.  The
rsline is making new highs at the pp.  the rsrank and ud volume are good.
Finally, the weekly chart also looks good, except it seems to have a
downtrend in the ud volume.

				The one thing I'm not sure about is the lack
of volume in rhs of the cup.  In fact, the 50 day ADV actually goes down
during the rhs of the cup, except for one spike near the pp.  Is this a big
concern?  Thanks.

	
=================================================
				Roger Tawa
				http://tawacentral.net/
				[One thing about paradigms: shift happens.]
				[When you stop, you're done.]
				

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