Re: Re: [CANSLIM] Stop losses and DHI


From: Tomas <tomas986@yahoo.com>
Subject: Re: Re: [CANSLIM] Stop losses and DHI
Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 18:45:01 -0700 (PDT)

Previous Article (by Date): Re: [CANSLIM] New Member Tomas
Top of Thread: Re: Re: [CANSLIM] Stop losses and DHI "Bill Triffet"
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VRNT is back to a little above the pivot point. 
Should I buy it back?  Or should I wait for a few days
and see what the market is doing.  The market seems to
be at a critical point where it is deciding if it will
head north or south.

What is the rule for buying back a stock that had such
a big dip 2 days after the BO with big volume, but is
now gaining back ground?  Is the big dip a red flag
enough to stay way from this stock?

With this stock, I feel like I am currently going
through a common mistake made by newbie.

You experience investors better stop me if I am going
to make a big mistake buying this stock back.  :)

tomas

- --- Bill Triffet <btriffet@earthlink.net> wrote:
> Hi Tomas,
> 
> I think you partially answered yourself here. Had
> you bought it on the day
> of the breakout 6/3 you'd still be in (maybe...).
> 
> Unfortunately VRNT gapped up the next day. I'd just
> pass on it and wait for
> a pullback which it did on 6/6. The huge volume of
> the pullback though was a
> red flag to me. I might have sold it even if I got
> it in the range due to
> that. Also given the fact I've been using 7%
> stop-losses, I'd have been
> stopped out as well.
> 
> Btw, I never use overnight buy orders as there's
> just too much volatility in
> the first 30min. Also, I want to see the price as I
> buy it.
> 
> In the past I've used buy-limit orders for stocks I
> felt were ready to
> breakout. The issue there was to make sure it had
> enough projected volume
> for the day. If it closed up but on low volume I'd
> almost always have to
> sell the next day. For this  reason I just stick to
> market orders for buys.
> The trick is to get some free time during the work
> day to "sneak a peek" at
> my watchlist.
> 
> --
> Bill
> 
> 
> 
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Tomas" <tomas986@yahoo.com>
> To: <canslim@lists.xmission.com>
> Sent: Monday, June 09, 2003 7:59 PM
> Subject: Re: Re: [CANSLIM] Stop losses and DHI
> 
> 
> > Bill,
> >
> > I did not buy DHI, but had a position on VRNT,
> which
> > went down 12% last Friday(no stop loss order in
> > place).  I sold the stock this morning and
> actually
> > walked away with a 18% lost.  Post analysis:
> >
> > 1) BO on 6/3 with close $24.37 (Pivot point at
> > $23.95).  Put an order to buy on 6/3 that night. 
> 6/4
> > morning, order execute at $26.21 (about 9% above
> pivot
> > point + .10).  Bought extended, should have put a
> > limit order instead of a market order?  But, if
> use
> > market order sometime will miss the boat on a good
> > stock...
> >
> > 2) On 6/6, stock went down $2.99.  Sold today at
> > $21.53.  Should have put a stop order when I
> bought
> > it?  Probably.
> >
> > Final note, if I bought it right, at pivot point +
> > $.10, then I would still be in the stock today. 
> It
> > never actually go below the 8%.  I guess my
> trigger
> > finger is too slow, and need to be faster next
> time...
> >
> > So, this is why I am trying to figure out what
> kind of
> > orders (stop/lost, market, limit,...) I need to do
> for
> > buys and sells.  It's kind of though, since every
> kind
> > of order has its pro's and con's.
> >
> >
> > Regards,
> > tomas
> >
> >
> > --- Bill Triffet <btriffet@earthlink.net> wrote:
> > > Tomas,
> > > To this day the main rule I've never disagreed
> with
> > > WON has been "preservation of capital". " Live
> to
> > > trade another day" is the way to go.
> > >
> > > Appling a trailing stop after you've made some
> gains
> > > may knock you out of the stock. Maybe it
> continues
> > > on up after that. Maybe not. The point is you
> live
> > > to trade another day.
> > >
> > > Maybe give yourself more wiggle room if a stock
> is
> > > ramping up quickly and you've made some gains.
> > > Example: 7% stop-loss right after your purchace
> then
> > > slide it up to just at or above the pivot after
> > > you've made say 10-12%. This is a very
> subjective
> > > thing but for me it satisfies two rules.
> > > 1. Sell at 7% loss - no matter what.
> > > 2. Don't let a profit turn into a loss
> > >
> > > You didn't say when/where you bought DHI. How
> tight
> > > was your stop?
> > >
> > > I have to agree with Mike that unless your doing
> > > thinly traded stocks or are making some LARGE
> block
> > > trades your trades are under the "big guys"
> radar
> > > screens. I recall WON mentioning the phenomina
> at
> > > one of his seminars but he does much larger
> trades
> > > than me...
> > >
> > > --
> > > Bill
> > >
> > > -------Original Message-------
> > > From: Tomas <tomas986@yahoo.com>
> > > Sent: 06/09/03 10:40 AM
> > > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
> > > Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Stop losses and DHI
> > >
> > > >
> > > > So, the question is does it happens often
> enough
> > > to
> > > warrent not using stop orders?  I guess this is
> all
> > > dependent on the investor, if he/she have time
> to
> > > monitor intraday action and the risk tolerance
> > > level.
> > >
> > >
> > > tomas
> > >
> > >
> > > --- michael_niemotka@baxter.com wrote:
> > > >
> > > > I have also been stopped out in similar
> instances,
> > > > and I can only assume
> > > > that the specialists see large blocks at
> certain
> > > > price levels, because I
> > > > cannot believe that they would manipulate the
> > > market
> > > > unless it was really
> > > > worth the while.   My $1000 worth of stock
> would
> > > be
> > > > in the noise level if
> > > > considered on its own.
> > > >
> > > > Mike
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > Mike Niemotka , PE
> > > > Sr. Principal Engineer
> > > > Baxter Healthcare Corporation
> > > > Route 120 & Wilson Road
> > > > Round Lake, IL 60073
> > > > Tel (847) 270-4075
> > > > Fax (847) 270-4525
> > > > michael_niemotka@baxter.com
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > >
> > > >
> > >
> > > >
> > > >                     Ian <ianstm@shaw.ca>
> > >
> > > >
> > >
> > > >
> > > >                     Sent by:
> > > To:
> > > >     canslim@lists.xmission.com
> 
=== message truncated ===


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