RE: [CANSLIM] Sidewall Breakouts


From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Sidewall Breakouts
Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:34:16 -0500

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Hi Dave,

I was intrigued with your comment, so took a bit of time scanning stocks in
my spreadsheet. As there are so many stocks in great technical condition, I
had to narrow it a bit to get a sampling, so focused on strong  stocks that
were new IPO's in the last 8 years. What I observed was that nearly all of
these stocks had formed sound bases, but formed handles very, very close to
the midpoint of the cup before they bolted. I think what that really
enforces is the notion that one really has to be on top of basing stocks
*as* they're basing, particuarly at the very beginning of a fresh rally, as
hesitation there will leave you in the dust. One of the sensibilities I
picked up from years of using VectorVest is that you really have to be ready
to play the direction change in a market. I think that's especially true for
CANSLIMers, as our chosen spots are so well-defined.

It wouldn't surprise me at all to see all of these strong stocks pull back
and form fresh bases right here. That would actually be a good thing for
overall market health.

Katherine

- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Davellil5@aol.com
Sent: Thursday, June 26, 2003 10:47 AM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: [CANSLIM] Sidewall Breakouts


In this market, I've been noticing a  large number of stocks that have
experienced one or more high-volume breakouts, some of them upgaps, along
the right
sidewalls of cups.  In most instances, there were no handles prior to the
breakouts.

None of those stocks would have been bought on those occasions under the WON
system.  Yet, they seem like lost opportunities for gain.

On reflection, it doesn't seem far-fetched to reason that, in a period of
recovery from a bear market, investors are less likely to wait for full
develpment of bases, but take positions at earlier stages in the recovery of
individual
stocks.

Moreover, isn't it likely that several breakouts along the right wall of a
cup increase the likelihood that a "real" WON breakout (after completion of
cup
and handle) on such a  stock will be followed by a correction or even
collapse, with the investor who buys on the WON breakout getting whipsawed?
Does this
explain some of the post-cup corrections, of which we've seen so many?

Anyone else observed this phenomenon?

Regards,k Dave










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