Re: [CANSLIM] BCGI big dip


From: "Gene Ricci" <genr@swbell.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] BCGI big dip
Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:19:17 -0500

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Tomas, yes.... a hard stop of some kind.... 7-8% too tight, use 15 or 20 =
or 25%.... something. One of the above would have saved you at least a =
dollar.

Ah TUITION.... if you just want proof I have a box full of 2001 and =
early  2002 trades that cost me enough tuition to own the school .... =
all because I didn't use the following three rules:

1) Always use protective stops when you enter a new position to limit =
your theoretical risk on each trade.... theoretical risk =3D distance =
between entry price and 'open protective stop"...
2) Use Trailing stops to lock in profits as a trade moves in your favor
3) Use 'creeping commitment' to start with a small position and build to =
a larger one as your trailing stop eliminates your risk to initial =
capital

My daily routine: let my profits run on any position until it's:
1. over-valued
2. over-owned
3. stopped out - trailing stop

It took me a long time (too long) to get the grasp that it requires a =
stock to double in price to recover a 50% loss.  AND, after suffering a =
loss, where the best place is to recover that loss.... wait for the =
stock to recover ... or find a better stock to buy...

Gene


  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Tomas=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Thursday, July 17, 2003 1:46 PM
  Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] BCGI big dip


  Gene,  I don't see this as a bad thing.  This is
  another tuition fee.  I look at it is way, I will make
  a lot of mistake.  It is better to make the mistakes
  sooner than later (because I use less money now than
  later).  I would like to get as much experience and
  lesson learn out of this as possible.

  On your second sentence, you are saying that I should
  put hard stop or stop limit on all my trades?

  tomas

  --- Gene Ricci <genr@swbell.net> wrote:
  > Hi Tomas, sorry to hear of your bad luck. I have to
  > caution you to not trade with a hard stop of some
  > limit or another.... I see it's now down to a 39%
  > drop.... when does benign become terminal?
  >=20
  > Gene
  >=20
  >   ----- Original Message -----=20
  >   From: Tomas=20
  >   To: canslim canslim=20
  >   Sent: Thursday, July 17, 2003 1:28 PM
  >   Subject: [CANSLIM] BCGI big dip
  >=20
  >=20
  >   Hi All,
  >=20
  >   I recently bought BCGI at BO on 07/08 for $18.89.=20
  >   Good fundies and good CwH.  No real yellow flags
  > that
  >   I can see.  Yesterday on after hour trading, it
  > went
  >   down about 33% due to news on a potential lost of
  > a
  >   big customer (51% of revenue).  Also, earnings
  > release
  >   yesterday was very good.  So, my question is
  > should I
  >   know this coming?  Maybe I missed some big warning
  >   signs.  Maybe I should have noticed the active
  > insider
  >   selling the last few months.  Another other
  > warning
  >   signs that I would have noticed?  Or is this
  > something
  >   that you cannot protect from?  I am think there
  > should
  >   be enough warning signs for this king of thing.
  >=20
  >   Is might be another dumb question, should I just
  > sell
  >   it now (you might be thinking "What! You have not
  > sold
  >   it yet"). Or wait for a few days to see what
  > happens
  >   and maybe I can get some of my loss back?  Am I
  > just
  >   been "hopeful when I should be fearful" (ie, sell
  > and
  >   get out ASAP)?
  >=20
  >=20
  >   Regards,
  >   tomas=20
  >=20
  >   __________________________________
  >   Do you Yahoo!?
  >   SBC Yahoo! DSL - Now only $29.95 per month!
  >   http://sbc.yahoo.com
  >=20
  >   -
  >   -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email
  > "majordomo@xmission.com"
  >   -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
  >   -"unsubscribe canslim".  Do not use quotes in your
  > email.
  >=20


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<!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN">
<HTML><HEAD>
<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Diso-8859-1">
<META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2800.1106" name=3DGENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
</HEAD>
<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Tomas, yes.... a hard stop of some =
kind.... 7-8%=20
too tight, use 15 or 20 or 25%.... something. One of the above would =
have saved=20
you at least a dollar.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS"></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Ah TUITION.... if you just want proof =
I have a=20
box full of 2001 and early&nbsp; 2002 trades that cost me enough tuition =
to own=20
the school&nbsp;.... all because I didn't use&nbsp;the following three=20
rules:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS"></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">1) Always use protective stops when =
you enter a=20
new position to limit your theoretical risk on each trade.... =
theoretical risk =3D=20
distance between entry price and 'open protective stop"...</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">2) Use Trailing stops to lock in =
profits as a=20
trade moves in your favor</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">3) Use 'creeping commitment' to start =
with a=20
small position and build to a larger one as your trailing stop =
eliminates your=20
risk to initial capital</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS"></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">My daily routine: let my profits run =
on any=20
position until it's:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">1. over-valued</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">2. over-owned</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">3. stopped out - trailing =
stop</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS"></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">It took me a long time (too long) to =
get the=20
grasp that it requires a stock to double in price to recover a 50% =
loss.&nbsp;=20
AND, after suffering a loss, where&nbsp;the best place is to recover =
that=20
loss.... wait for the stock to recover ... or find a better stock to=20
buy...</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS"></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS">Gene</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS"></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3D"Comic Sans MS"></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dtomas986@yahoo.com =
href=3D"mailto:tomas986@yahoo.com">Tomas</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, July 17, 2003 =
1:46=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [CANSLIM] BCGI big =
dip</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>Gene,&nbsp; I don't see this as a bad thing.&nbsp; This =

  is<BR>another tuition fee.&nbsp; I look at it is way, I will make<BR>a =
lot of=20
  mistake.&nbsp; It is better to make the mistakes<BR>sooner than later =
(because=20
  I use less money now than<BR>later).&nbsp; I would like to get as much =

  experience and<BR>lesson learn out of this as possible.<BR><BR>On your =
second=20
  sentence, you are saying that I should<BR>put hard stop or stop limit =
on all=20
  my trades?<BR><BR>tomas<BR><BR>--- Gene Ricci &lt;<A=20
  href=3D"mailto:genr@swbell.net">genr@swbell.net</A>&gt; wrote:<BR>&gt; =
Hi Tomas,=20
  sorry to hear of your bad luck. I have to<BR>&gt; caution you to not =
trade=20
  with a hard stop of some<BR>&gt; limit or another.... I see it's now =
down to a=20
  39%<BR>&gt; drop.... when does benign become terminal?<BR>&gt; =
<BR>&gt;=20
  Gene<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; ----- Original Message -----=20
  <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; From: Tomas <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; To: canslim =
canslim=20
  <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; Sent: Thursday, July 17, 2003 1:28 =
PM<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  Subject: [CANSLIM] BCGI big dip<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; =
Hi=20
  All,<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; I recently bought BCGI at BO on =
07/08 for=20
  $18.89. <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; Good fundies and good CwH.&nbsp; No real =
yellow=20
  flags<BR>&gt; that<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; I can see.&nbsp; Yesterday on =
after=20
  hour trading, it<BR>&gt; went<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; down about 33% due =
to news=20
  on a potential lost of<BR>&gt; a<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; big customer (51% =
of=20
  revenue).&nbsp; Also, earnings<BR>&gt; release<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; =
yesterday=20
  was very good.&nbsp; So, my question is<BR>&gt; should =
I<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  know this coming?&nbsp; Maybe I missed some big =
warning<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  signs.&nbsp; Maybe I should have noticed the active<BR>&gt;=20
  insider<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; selling the last few months.&nbsp; Another =

  other<BR>&gt; warning<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; signs that I would have=20
  noticed?&nbsp; Or is this<BR>&gt; something<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; that =
you=20
  cannot protect from?&nbsp; I am think there<BR>&gt; =
should<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  be enough warning signs for this king of thing.<BR>&gt; =
<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  Is might be another dumb question, should I just<BR>&gt;=20
  sell<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; it now (you might be thinking "What! You have =

  not<BR>&gt; sold<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; it yet"). Or wait for a few days =
to see=20
  what<BR>&gt; happens<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; and maybe I can get some of =
my loss=20
  back?&nbsp; Am I<BR>&gt; just<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; been "hopeful when I =
should=20
  be fearful" (ie, sell<BR>&gt; and<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; get out =
ASAP)?<BR>&gt;=20
  <BR>&gt; <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; Regards,<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; tomas =
<BR>&gt;=20
  <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; =
__________________________________<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; Do=20
  you Yahoo!?<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; SBC Yahoo! DSL - Now only $29.95 per=20
  month!<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; <A=20
  href=3D"http://sbc.yahoo.com">http://sbc.yahoo.com</A><BR>&gt;=20
  <BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; -<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp; -To subscribe/unsubscribe,=20
  email<BR>&gt; "<A=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:majordomo@xmission.com">majordomo@xmission.com</A>"<BR>&gt=
;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or<BR>&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;=20
  -"unsubscribe canslim".&nbsp; Do not use quotes in your<BR>&gt; =
email.<BR>&gt;=20
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Yahoo!?<BR>SBC Yahoo!=20
  DSL - Now only $29.95 per month!<BR><A=20
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  subscribe/unsubscribe, email "<A=20
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canslim".&nbsp; Do=20
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