Re: [CANSLIM] WES - What does a "U" shape, 1-day chart mean


From: "DMC197807" <dmc197807@comcast.net>
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] WES - What does a "U" shape, 1-day chart mean
Date: Fri, 1 Aug 2003 12:52:36 -0700

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Kelly,

I seldom look at charts with time periods less than 60 minutes, and =
seldom trade intraday unless I get very lucky or very unlucky.  Looking =
at WES from a daily and 60 minute viewpoint, however, the chart still =
looks intact (although not without some strong warning signs).

 The daily chart over the past 8 trading sessions has shown little =
except hesitation in the shape of its candles: if today ends up in a =
doji, as seems likely, it's 5 dojis in a row.  Maybe it's ripe for a =
correction that will violate its trendline; it's right on it now, if I'm =
looking at the chart correctly.  Volume has been tailing off for the =
same 8 trading days; you have to look at this as a strong hint that =
buyers are not showing up.  Finally, today's candle, if it holds, is a =
hanging man; a lower open on Monday would be a strong sell.

If you're more long term in your outlook (unlikely, since you attached a =
15 minute chart) then you might wait to see if the 20 EMA provides =
support here.

On the 60 minute chart, all I see is a selloff in the morning and a =
comeback to the open.

One difficulty with commenting on charts is the commentator seldom knows =
what timeframes and goals the audience has.  One person might be =
satisfied with an 8% swing profit over 5 days and another with 2% before =
the market closes.

DMC
  ----- Original Message -----=20
  From: Kelly Short=20
  To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  Sent: Friday, August 01, 2003 12:17 PM
  Subject: [CANSLIM] WES - What does a "U" shape, 1-day chart mean


  All,

  I am presently in WES and am somewhat confounded by today's chart =
action. The chart has literally made a perfect "U" (see attached). What =
does this mean? I've been watching WES closely the past few days as the =
action seems weird (that's a technical term by the way). It appears to =
be basing after breaking out 7/11/03, but 7/30 and 7/31 logged what =
appeared to be possible churning days. Now, today, we experience this =
"U" shape with a large daily delta. My only thought is that it found =
resistance at $32.60. Any thoughts you might have regarding the =
translation of this "U" shape to supply and demand would be greatly =
appreciated!

  Thanks,

  Kelly


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<META http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; =
charset=3Diso-8859-1">
<META content=3D"MSHTML 6.00.2719.2200" name=3DGENERATOR>
<STYLE></STYLE>
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<BODY bgColor=3D#ffffff>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>Kelly,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>I seldom look at charts with time =
periods less than=20
60 minutes, and seldom trade intraday unless I get very lucky or very=20
unlucky.&nbsp; Looking at WES from a daily and 60 minute viewpoint, =
however, the=20
chart still looks intact (although not without some strong warning=20
signs).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>&nbsp;The daily chart over the past 8 =
trading=20
sessions has shown little except hesitation in the shape of its candles: =
if=20
today ends up in a doji, as seems likely, it's 5 dojis in a row.&nbsp; =
Maybe=20
it's ripe for a correction that will violate its trendline; it's right =
on it=20
now, if I'm looking at the chart correctly.&nbsp; Volume has been =
tailing off=20
for the same 8 trading days; you have to look at this as a strong hint =
that=20
buyers are not showing up.&nbsp; Finally, today's candle, if it holds, =
is a=20
hanging man; a lower open on Monday would be a strong sell.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>If you're more long term in your =
outlook (unlikely,=20
since you attached a 15 minute chart) then you might wait to see if the =
20 EMA=20
provides support here.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>On the 60 minute chart, all I see is a =
selloff in=20
the morning and a comeback to the open.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>One difficulty with commenting on =
charts is the=20
commentator seldom knows what timeframes and goals the audience =
has.&nbsp; One=20
person might be satisfied with an 8% swing profit over 5 days and =
another with=20
2% before the market closes.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>DMC</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr=20
style=3D"PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; =
BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV=20
  style=3D"BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: =
black"><B>From:</B>=20
  <A title=3Dkelly.short@fw.us.neoris.com=20
  href=3D"mailto:kelly.short@fw.us.neoris.com">Kelly Short</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A =
title=3Dcanslim@lists.xmission.com=20
  =
href=3D"mailto:canslim@lists.xmission.com">canslim@lists.xmission.com</A>=
 </DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, August 01, 2003 =
12:17=20
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style=3D"FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [CANSLIM] WES - What =
does a "U"=20
  shape, 1-day chart mean</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D846081019-01082003><FONT face=3DArial=20
  size=3D2>All,</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D846081019-01082003><FONT face=3DArial=20
  size=3D2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D846081019-01082003><FONT face=3DArial size=3D2>I am =
presently in=20
  WES and am somewhat confounded by today's chart action. The chart has=20
  literally made a perfect "U" (see attached). What does this mean? I've =
been=20
  watching WES closely the past few days as the action seems weird =
(that's a=20
  technical term by the way). It appears to be basing after breaking out =

  7/11/03, but 7/30 and 7/31 logged what appeared to be possible =
churning days.=20
  Now, today, we experience this "U" shape with a large daily delta. My =
only=20
  thought is that it found resistance at $32.60. Any thoughts you might =
have=20
  regarding the translation of this "U" shape to supply and demand would =
be=20
  greatly appreciated!</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D846081019-01082003><FONT face=3DArial=20
  size=3D2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D846081019-01082003><FONT face=3DArial=20
  size=3D2>Thanks,</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D846081019-01082003><FONT face=3DArial=20
  size=3D2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D846081019-01082003><FONT face=3DArial=20
  size=3D2>Kelly</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=3D846081019-01082003><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#0000ff=20
  size=3D2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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Next Article (by Date): Re: [CANSLIM] WES - What does a "U" shape, 1-day chart mean "Rolf Hertenstein"
Previous Article (by Date): RE: [CANSLIM] Unemployment down, Job losses up? "Kelly Short"
Next in Thread: Re: [CANSLIM] WES - What does a "U" shape, 1-day chart mean "Rolf Hertenstein"
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