Go to Jeff Salisbury LWGate Home Page.From: "Katherine Malm" <kmalm@earthlink.net>
Subject: RE: NWRE (was [CANSLIM] Hi, )
Date: Wed, 6 Aug 2003 16:16:06 -0500
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Hi Mark,
The "dry up" in a handle is evidence that, while there are some sellers of the
stock, they do not have the upper hand.
After moving up the right hand side of a base on increasing volume (evidence of
accumulation), the stock will start to approach it's ulitmate area of resistance
(nearing the left hand side of the base, where the correction began). After
retracing at least 50% of the move on the left side of the base, if and when the
price falls back on lower volume, this ostensibly shows that there is still some
selling, but that the buyers who were accumulating holdings while the stock
moved back toward resistance are reluctant to let go. That's why the breakout is
a powerful move. The idea is that what little selling there is left is now
overwhelmed by the buyers as they attempt to accumulate more of the stock and
move it well past the most recent consolidation.
Katherine
-----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Mark Kerson
Sent: Wednesday, August 06, 2003 3:47 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: RE: NWRE (was [CANSLIM] Hi, )
Hi Katherine,
Thanks for the reply.
I guess my question was not clear.
I am not interested in buying the stock. I think it has too many negatives.
But I am interested what would cause and what the extreme drying up of volume
in a handle as it approaches the 50 day line indicates? Does it mean that shares
available for sale have dried up? Or perhaps it indicates that there is a
general loss of interest in a given stock so that no one is buying or selling
it?
It just seems like such an extreme drop in volume I’m curious about it.
Or, perhaps, it is an unanswerable question.
But thanks for trying anyway.
Mark
-----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Katherine Malm
Sent: Wednesday, August 06, 2003 4:27 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: RE: NWRE (was [CANSLIM] Hi, )
Hi Mark,
NWRE has had some trouble breaking free of it's current area of consolidation,
as it failed to break away from the previous base. There are some good and bad
points that I see in the chart:
http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/NWRE080603Wkly.JPG
All in all, I wouldn't take on the risk of something like this unless it
*proved* it's ability to breakout from this latest base (high volume breakout
with an underlying healthy market). Given that the market is pulling back, it's
very possible that the RSLine will start to head back up, particularly if it can
pause here and complete it's low volume handle while the rest of the market is
in a funk. Worth watching, though the volatility makes this one a higher risk
choice than many other CANSLIM quality stocks.
Katherine
-----Original Message-----
From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Mark Kerson
Sent: Wednesday, August 06, 2003 2:28 PM
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com
Subject: [CANSLIM] Hi,
I’m looking at NWRE.
Its grades are mediocre. I am not looking at buying it.
But I’m interested in the chart.
It is forming a handle and as it approaches the 50 day line the volume has
dropped to ¼ of the average volume. (466k vs. currently around 140k)
I think I remember reading in IBD this was an indication that shares
available for sale were drying up. Which in turn would drive the price higher?
It also seems significant that it is doing this as it approaches the 50 day
line.
I would appreciate any insights or thoughts about this chart pattern.
Thank you,
Mark
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<BODY lang=3DEN-US vLink=3Dpurple link=3Dblue>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D264151021-06082003>Hi Mark,</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D264151021-06082003></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D264151021-06082003>The "dry up" in a handle is =
evidence that,=20
while there are some sellers of the stock, they do not have the upper =
hand.=20
</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D264151021-06082003></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D264151021-06082003>After moving up the right hand =
side of a=20
base on increasing volume (evidence of accumulation), the stock will =
start to=20
approach it's ulitmate area of resistance (nearing the left hand side of =
the=20
base, where the correction began). After retracing at least 50% of the =
move on=20
the left side of the base, if and when the price falls back on lower =
volume,=20
this ostensibly shows that there is still some selling, but that the =
buyers who=20
were accumulating holdings while the stock moved back toward resistance =
are=20
reluctant to let go. That's why the breakout is a powerful move. The =
idea is=20
that what little selling there is left is now overwhelmed by the buyers =
as they=20
attempt to accumulate more of the stock and move it well past the most =
recent=20
consolidation.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D264151021-06082003></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=3D264151021-06082003>Katherine</SPAN></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE dir=3Dltr style=3D"MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV class=3DOutlookMessageHeader dir=3Dltr align=3Dleft><FONT =
face=3DTahoma=20
size=3D2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B>=20
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<B>On Behalf Of </B>Mark=20
Kerson<BR><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, August 06, 2003 3:47 =
PM<BR><B>To:</B>=20
canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B>Subject:</B> RE: NWRE (was [CANSLIM] =
Hi,=20
)<BR><BR></FONT></DIV>
<DIV class=3DSection1>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Hi=20
</SPAN></FONT><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue><SPAN=20
style=3D"COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Katherine</SPAN></FONT><FONT =
face=3DArial color=3Dblue><SPAN style=3D"COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial">,=20
</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Thanks for =
the reply.=20
</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">I guess my =
question=20
was not clear. </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">I am=20
</SPAN></FONT><U><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dred><SPAN=20
style=3D"COLOR: red; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">not</SPAN></FONT></U><FONT =
face=3DArial=20
color=3Dblue><SPAN style=3D"COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"> =
interested in buying=20
the stock. I think it has too many negatives. </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">But I am =
interested=20
what would cause and what the extreme drying up of volume in a handle =
as it=20
approaches the 50 day line indicates? Does it mean that shares =
available for=20
sale have dried up? Or perhaps it indicates that there is a general =
loss of=20
interest in a given stock so that no one is buying or selling it?=20
</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">It just =
seems like=20
such an extreme drop in volume I=92m curious about it. =
</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Or, =
perhaps, it is an=20
unanswerable question. </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">But thanks =
for trying=20
anyway. </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial">Mark</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><IMG =
height=3D191=20
src=3D"cid:264151021@06082003-05a0" width=3D190></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal><FONT face=3DArial color=3Dblue size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: =
Arial"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DTahoma =
size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Tahoma">-----Original=20
Message-----<BR><B><SPAN style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">From:</SPAN></B>=20
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com =
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]=20
<B><SPAN style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">On Behalf Of </SPAN></B>Katherine =
Malm<BR><B><SPAN style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Sent:</SPAN></B> =
Wednesday, August=20
06, 2003 4:27 PM<BR><B><SPAN style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: =
bold">To:</SPAN></B>=20
canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Subject:</SPAN></B> RE: NWRE (was =
[CANSLIM] Hi,=20
)</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<DIV>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt">Hi =
Mark,</SPAN></FONT></P></DIV>
<DIV>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: =
12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P></DIV>
<DIV>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt">NWRE has had some trouble =
breaking free=20
of it's current area of consolidation, as it failed to break away from =
the=20
previous base. There are some good and bad points that I see in the=20
chart:</SPAN></FONT></P></DIV>
<DIV>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: =
12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P></DIV>
<DIV>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><A=20
=
href=3D"http://www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/NWRE080603Wkly.JPG">http:/=
/www.breakoutwatch.com/katherine/NWRE080603Wkly.JPG</A></SPAN></FONT></P>=
</DIV>
<DIV>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: =
12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P></DIV>
<DIV>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt">All in all, I wouldn't take =
on the risk=20
of something like this unless it *proved* it's ability to breakout =
from this=20
latest base (high volume breakout with an underlying healthy market). =
Given=20
that the market is pulling back, it's very possible that the RSLine =
will start=20
to head back up, particularly if it can pause here and complete it's =
low=20
volume handle while the rest of the market is in a funk. Worth =
watching,=20
though the volatility makes this one a higher risk choice than many =
other=20
CANSLIM quality stocks.</SPAN></FONT></P></DIV>
<DIV>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: =
12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P></DIV>
<DIV>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3D"Times =
New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: =
12pt">Katherine</SPAN></FONT></P></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE style=3D"MARGIN-TOP: 5pt; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 5pt; =
MARGIN-RIGHT: 0in">
<P class=3DMsoNormal=20
style=3D"MARGIN-BOTTOM: 12pt; MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in; MARGIN-RIGHT: =
0in"><FONT=20
face=3DTahoma size=3D2><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Tahoma">-----Original=20
Message-----<BR><B><SPAN style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: =
bold">From:</SPAN></B>=20
owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
[mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]<B><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">On Behalf Of </SPAN></B>Mark =
Kerson<BR><B><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Sent:</SPAN></B> Wednesday, August 06, =
2003 2:28=20
PM<BR><B><SPAN style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">To:</SPAN></B>=20
canslim@lists.xmission.com<BR><B><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Subject:</SPAN></B> [CANSLIM] Hi,=20
</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#333333=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; =
FONT-FAMILY: Arial">I=92m=20
looking at NWRE. </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#333333=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; =
FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Its=20
grades are mediocre. I am not looking at buying it. =
</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#333333=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; =
FONT-FAMILY: Arial">But=20
I=92m interested in the chart.</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#333333=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; =
FONT-FAMILY: Arial">It=20
is forming a handle and as it approaches the 50 day line the volume =
has=20
dropped to =BC of the average volume. (466k vs. currently around =
140k)=20
</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#333333=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; =
FONT-FAMILY: Arial">I=20
think I remember reading in IBD this was an indication that shares =
available=20
for sale were drying up. Which in turn would drive the price =
higher?=20
It also seems significant that it is doing this as it approaches the =
50 day=20
line. </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#333333=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; =
FONT-FAMILY: Arial">I=20
would appreciate any insights or thoughts about this chart pattern.=20
</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#333333=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Thank=20
you,</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#333333=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">Mark=20
</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT face=3DArial =
color=3D#333333=20
size=3D3><SPAN=20
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><IMG =
height=3D64=20
src=3D"cid:264151021@06082003-05a7" width=3D64 =
border=3D0></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
<P class=3DMsoNormal style=3D"MARGIN-LEFT: 0.5in"><FONT =
face=3D"Times New Roman"=20
size=3D3><SPAN style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 12pt"></SPAN></FONT> </P>
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