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Futurlogics uses an intuitive guess?
FUTURLOGICS is a MOS or (M)ind (O)perating (S)ystem
What is a MOS?
In computer science an OS is an acronym for (O)perating (S)ystem.
An Operating System provides a base to put various apps or applications to execute.
The Mind/Brain also needs an Operating System upon which we can function with
what we know now or what we shall know. It is how we apply our knowledge either
upon knowledge itself or upon the things we know about. It is theory in action.
Simply a MOS is the theme upon which we execute our methods or praxis.
praxis
1. Practical application or exercise of a branch of learning.
2. Habitual or established practice; custom.
praxis
1. (Social Science / Education) the practice and practical side
of a profession or field of study, as reduced from theory
2. (Social Science / Education) a practical exercise
3. accepted practice or custom
Origin Greek: deed, action, from prassein to do]
Some say that prediction of the future is just a guess. Taking this postulate to
it's extreme let us look at the operation of the human guess.
Can one guess like an explosion in sheer randomness. Of course random with no
shaping or influences, is only an imaginary event. Yet imagination has “fluences.”
(Weibull Distribution) And there bouncing off each other, an object or an act,
interact even if, it is against each other in the mix of things. Learning to guess
is the art of deep thinking.
There is in the mix of things these types of guesses and more:
educated guess
prosaic guess
common sense guess
biased guess
preconditioned guess
ignorant guess
knowledgeable guess
naïve guess
expert guess
studied evaluated guess
lucky guess
esp guess
spiritural guess
inspired guess
denying guess
pre-influenced guess
random guess
hysterical guess
crazed guess
“cooked” guess
chaotic guess
lustful guess
hopeful guess
blasphemous guess
divine guess
disparate guess
calculated guess
blind guess
“dumb” guess
gambled guess
memory guess
system guess
intuitive guess
insightful guess
stupid guess
human guess
guessing games
guessing based upon previous guess(es)
swag (acronym)
Guesses in school are controlled and students are not rewarded or are ridiculed
for guessing in tests or when they offer ideas not always drawn from the assigned
teaching and study. Guessing is seen to be an evidence of poor preparation.
Never or seldom seen as ideas from intuitive and free association and insightful
or intuitive feelings, structures, or approaches. Discipline and order prevail.
Chaos disturbs the teaching environment.
We as living beings can not guess by shear randomness . There is always
Weibull distribution in the human condition . This is useful to the futurist
as it is clues to the methods used to futur.
The purpose for futurlogics is to increase the hit success of our guessing.
So that guessing gains a greater respect or is authoritative and impressive
to the skeptic with the accuracy. It makes futuring more accurate.
Funny Farm movie excerpt:
Moving guy: Hey Mac, which way to Redbud?
Mac: How'd you know my name was Mac?
Moving guy: Just guessed.
Mac: Then why don't you guess your way to Redbud.
Futurist guesses are influences by :
Family
Linguistics
Cultural
Sociological
Economics
Educational
Personality
Paradigms
Thoughts
Dreams
Health
. . .
So it is all a guessing game, this area of study is commonly and collectively
known as futuring? Well, it is and it isn't. It is, because no one can predict
the future with any precision . . . . And it isn't just a guessing game, because
there are methods and procedures that you may employ to minimize (if not
entirely end) the chances you will be caught flat footed when the future
arrives . . . . ~ from Bruce A. Shuman book BEYOND THE LIBRARY OF THE FUTURE
After the futurist has enough guesses. The next step would be to categorize
them into such sample categories as:
Crazy
Ridiculous
Never happen, impossible.
Never happen, possible
May happen, possible
Possible
. . .
Probable
Highly Probable
Likely
Pending
Certain
Inevitable
Future Reality
Then the futurist offers various scenarios based upon the above categories.
Then the futurist ponders over the most suitable scenario(s); that is makes
judgements.
Then the futurist “dry labs” preparations, plans dependent upon the above
scenario(s) to proof the scenarios doing risk assessments vs reward
assessments. This is the place for mind experiments and ROI analysis.
Next tactical to strategic preparation/planning begins if it is a bottom up
style. Or Strategic to tactical planning/preparations begins if it is top
down style. Or Strategic to tactical and then tactical to strategic if is
is middle out style.
Man is spiritual or Man is a product of the evolutionary processes, Inasmuch
as man is spiritual being , he is capable of considering, pondering, creating,
meditating thoughts on the future(s), by abstraction through abstraction. If
man is a product of evolution then when is his evolution finished and where is
it going. Futur it.
So what is the affect/effect of the continual study of the future as a total
abstraction upon the mind of man?
This kind of study necessitates the ability and/or facility to handle or use
abstractions or abstract thoughts. A MOS is needed to capacitate the mind to
handle abstraction. Continual study of the future will build or create an MOS
or theory upon which a praxis or methods can be used.
As in Money Creation futuring or future studies generally takes at least three
forms:
a. Top down central planing, social collectively engineered and by
assigned commitment.
b. Bottom up capital sovereignty, spontaneous inventive, free will
generation of monetary value or series of predictions.
c. Simultaneous top down / bottom up approach to the future. May be
called middle out approach.
PRAXIS OVERALL VIEW
Whether it is the "Lone Wolf" futurist or "fully accepted in a society"
futurist, all are budding prophets given enough time and opportunity to learn
the secrets of probing the future.
Futurist grow in spurts as is evident by their breakthroughs.
However, there are fundamental rules, guidelines or praxis to futuring.
Be realistic the future will be real and subject to the most rigorous
scientific investigation as it arrives to be now.
You must take plenty of time to forecast.
Trust that there are true methods and models of research.
Respect other's talents honestly and you will get respect back from your peer
group for their approval.
Charity towards the beginner is how the future movement grows.
Be proud enough and confident enough to present your findings for publications
or if you are a lone wolf futurist, self-publish as this effort in itself will
give personal growth and solidify your certainties.
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